Now let's consider the kinds of naked eye observations that one could make at this time
(and still today):
For instance, at our latitude in the summer, if we look overhead we would see this pattern of
stars with some specific constellations shown:
In the winter, this pattern has clearly changed and compare the orientation of the big dipper,
the little dipper and cassiopea in this view compared to the summer view.
So then how do you make a model of the earth plus celestial sphere that is consistent with
these observations?
A stationary earth with everything else rotating around it is the most operationally simple
model and can qualitatively account for the rising and setting motion of objects, but
that's about it.
Hence it really was obvious that at times, different patterns of stars would be in the
overhead sky compared to other times and, that pattern variation was repeatable. This
would allow one to develop "constellation time", which is essentially equivalent to
a year.
careful observers would see that
the sun doesn't always rise or set in the same place each day.
even a crude timing device would show this. For instance, at the latitude of Eugene the
length of time the sun is in the sky varies by 8 hours from winter to summer. So if you
had a sand clock that say held 8 hours worth of sand , you would easily figure out that
sometimes the sun is in the sky longer than one contain's worth of stand - a lot longer.
it always does seem to
come back: This pattern most easily lends itself to a calendar where a "moon" (time between
full moons) is a unit.
more importantly, different patterns of
stars (e.g. constellations) are seen at different times of the year. This changing pattern
is really quite obvious to anyone that looks at the night sky.