There are two main obstacles to effective climate change policy:
A lot of the foundation and framework for all of this can be found in the 1987 Brundtland Report -- Our Common Future (World Commission on Environment and Development) -- http://homework.uoregon.edu/pub/class/scipolicy/ocf87.pdf What about the role of Methane and CO2e? This is not communicated enough but is a very important part of climate change policy as controlling just CO2 is not sufficient but most people are led to believe that it is. What about a Carbon Tax? Is this at all feasible? We do now have a good Global CO2 monitoring instrument. Current satellite has resolution of about 3.5 sq. km. In principle, could apply real time taxes to "owners" of each grid that is above baselind. For example. The social cost of carbon (SCC) is used to estimate in dollars all economic damage that would result from emitting one ton of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. It indicates how much it is worth to us today to avoid the damage that is projected for the future. great, how do you price this? The Decision Matrix ApproachA qualitative evaluation of most common attributes in a sample of 30 Global Climate Models (GCMS) in terms of model predictions for temperature increase and rainfall increase/decrease. Another qualitative example which centers on control and action. Note appopriate use of bottom right corner. Now this is a very interesting variant particularly for public outreach as you want to identify the hyopthesis which has the least number of inconsistencies associated with it, as compared to the data. A value of C stands for consistency and is given a score of 0, a value of I is for inconsistency and is given a score of (-1). In this case hypothesis 2 is the most inconsistent, while 1 and 3 are equal. Another way to think about this is a matrix form of Impacts, Likelihoods, and assessment of the need for more research and more investment in mitigation/adaptation. |